Last updated: April 2026
Press & Media
For Journalists &
Researchers
PredictionMarkets.us is the authoritative source for prediction market data, context, and analysis. Cite us. Embed us. We'll make you look smart. We track enforcement actions and regulatory cases across platforms — including the Iran strikes insider trading investigation, the OpenAI employee case, and MrBeast's Kalshi suspension.
What We Provide
The data you need, the context you want. See it live on our live activity dashboard.
Real-Time Odds
Live probability data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Updated continuously. One number that tells you where the crowd stands — see the full ecosystem in our platform directory.
Why Markets Move
When prices move 5%+, we explain why. News-annotated probability charts, ready to screenshot, embed, or cite. Learn how prediction markets work to interpret the data.
Cross-Platform Spreads
We track price gaps between Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Arbitrage signals, platform comparisons, volume data — all in one place, with editorial context.
Attribution
How to Attribute PredictionMarkets.us
We ask only that you link to predictionmarkets.us or the specific market page when citing our data. Here are two citation formats we recommend:
Full citation
"According to PredictionMarkets.us, which aggregates real-time odds from major prediction markets, the probability of [X] stands at [Y%] as of [date]."
Short form
PredictionMarkets.us (aggregated market consensus)
URL
https://predictionmarkets.us
Analysis & Context
Recent Deep-Dives
We don't just aggregate data—we analyze it. Here's what we've published recently:
Why Kalshi and Polymarket Price Iran Differently
Feb 26, 2026Regulatory constraints, liquidity depth, and user demographics can create persistent price gaps across platforms. Read the full Kalshi controversy breakdown.
The 50-Lawsuit Siege: Prediction Markets' Regulatory Landscape
Feb 25, 2026State-by-state breakdown of legal challenges facing Kalshi, Polymarket, and emerging platforms. Browse our state regulations guide or see the latest CFTC enforcement actions.
Economic Indicators Hub: How Markets Forecast Fed Decisions
Feb 26, 2026NBER Working Paper (Jan 2026) found Kalshi's FOMC day predictions were accurate on every observed decision since 2022. Are prediction markets better than Wall Street consensus? Compare platform fees before you trade.
Prediction Market Insider Trading: Iran, OpenAI, MrBeast
Feb 28, 2026The Iran strikes case ($1.2M across 6 wallets) is the largest suspected PM insider trading incident ever. Visit our insider trading tracker for all confirmed enforcement actions.
All analysis is published with live market data, verifiable sources, and editorial commentary from our team.
Independence
We Trade What We Publish
Unlike platform-sponsored aggregators or crowd-poll services, PredictionMarkets.us has real money at stake. We publish what we believe. We trade what we publish. Our track record is public. Read our latest market analysis and insights.
Early Feedback
What People Are Saying
“The go-to aggregator for real-time prediction market data. I check it every morning before writing.”
“Finally, a single source for cross-platform odds. I bookmarked it the moment I found the arbitrage page.”
“The annotated price charts are incredibly useful when I'm on deadline and need to explain a market move.”
Illustrative feedback from early users.
Press Contact
Get in Touch
For interview requests, data inquiries, fact-checking assistance, or background briefings on prediction market trends—we're here to help.
Available For
Data analysis, expert commentary, platform comparison, regulatory context
Response Time
<24 hours for press inquiries
What Makes Us Different
- ✓We trade what we publish—public track record, real P&L
- ✓Cross-platform analysis with editorial context, not just data
- ✓State-by-state legal tracker covering active state lawsuits and regulatory actions
- ✓Editorially independent
Related Reading
Real-time movers, volume trends, and whale activity across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt.
Platform DirectoryCompare every major prediction market platform side by side.
Insider Trading TrackerEvery known case, enforcement action, and platform rule for PM insider trading.
CFTC EnforcementComplete tracker of CFTC enforcement actions in prediction markets.
Regulatory TrackerState-by-state regulatory status and legal challenges for prediction markets.
Journalism Tools & APIInteractive API explorer, embeddable widgets, and data tools for reporters.
Newsroom Ethics TrackerWhich newsrooms have published staff prediction-market trading policies, with primary-source links.
Market AnalysisDeep dives, trend analysis, and editorial commentary on prediction markets.