Three regulatory tiers — exchange discipline, CFTC civil, DOJ criminal — across Kalshi and Polymarket. Seven indicted cases, a parallel suspicious-but-unindicted tier, and eight active congressional bills.
| Date | Platform | Subject | Tier | Outcome | Amount | Primary source |
|---|
On-chain pattern evidence has surfaced these clusters; no charges have been filed. Presumption of innocence applies. Rows ship with a persistent "No charges filed — alleged only" badge.
| Date | Platform | Cluster | Alleged profit | Market context | Status |
|---|
| Bill | Lead sponsor | Chamber | Status |
|---|
Verbatim quotes and primary-source URLs flagged here ship as amber pending badges until cleared. Items marked blocking gate any further row promotion to the indicted tier.
